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What Goes Down Must |
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| What goes down must come up. Interest rates are still at historic lows, but we expect them to rise this year and next. But why, and by how much? What will be the impact on consumers and on the real estate market? What should investors do? Let��셲 explore the answers to each of these questions. |
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The End of the "End |
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| People who are spreading fear about the world running out of oil are either trying to distort the markets, or they fail to understand the underlying realities of the business that delivers gasoline to the pumps and petroleum products to nearly every niche in our modern economy. |
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From Here to Immorta |
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| Until recently, only a tiny fraction of Americans reached their 100th birthdays. Yet, with technologies available today or already in the pipeline, this number has already begun to increase dramatically. For example, in 1990, there were 37,306 Americans who were at least 100 years old. By the year 2010, there will be 131,000. And, by 2050, projections by the U.S. Census Bureau anticipate there being 834,000 centenarians. |
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To Tell the Truth |
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| The device that is widely used to detect lies today, the polygraph, is simply too unreliable. It is too inaccurate for the results to be admissible in court cases. A 2002 report by the National Research Council concluded that the polygraph can��셳 distinguish innocent people from guilty ones. In response, the U.S. Department of Energy began relying less on the use of the polygraph to conduct security checks on its employees. |
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The Emerging Tri-Pol |
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| Consider the big picture, as we��쫣e laid it out in previous issues of Trends:
瑗� The population of the developed world is rapidly aging.
瑗� The United States is the only advanced nation where the workforce is forecasted to grow over the next 50 years.
瑗� The populations of the EU and Japan are actually expected to shrink over that time period.
瑗� Even China is rapidly aging and the size of its workforce will peak around 2025.
瑗� At the same time, Latin America, India, the Middle East, and Africa all have young, rapidly growing populations of under-utilized workers and under-served consumers. |
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